(SportsNetwork.com) - Consistency has always defined Peyton Manning and that standard should ultimately decide his career fate. If Sundays disheartening 24-13 playoff loss to his old team, the Indianapolis Colts, turns out to be Mannings final NFL game, it will be a hat tip to Father Time, the one opponent every athlete is destined to lose to eventually. Manning looked every bit like a 38-year-old quarterback who has had four different surgical procedures on his neck Sunday, flashing little zip on his fastball and proving unable to deal with the Colts press coverage because Vontae Davis, perhaps the most underrated cornerback in football, and Co. simply werent scared of getting beat over the top. The quick hitches and bubble screens that have defined the Broncos offense since Peyton arrived from the Hoosier State for the 2012 season were impotent as Indys defensive backs jumped routes with impunity, forcing the weak- armed Manning, who finished 26-of-46 passing for 211 yards and a touchdown in the defeat, to misfire on downfield routes again and again. Those were my decisions, a forlorn Manning said after the game when discussing his downfield accuracy issues. A couple of them were called to go that way. A couple of them had some other options with it and some shorter passes with it. I ended up taking some long shots. Any time you lose a game, you always look to some incompletions and throws youd like to have back. And then some other ones, I possibly could have, probably should have gone to a shorter throw. Some context was added Monday when reports surfaced that Manning played the last month of the season with a torn right quad, suffered during Denvers Dec. 14 victory over the San Diego Chargers. The Denver Post, however, refuted that, saying Manning played with a strained quad and not a full tear. Whats clear is something was wrong with Manning late in the season whether it was the injury or just the general wear and tear an NFL season can take on a 38-year-old man. For what its worth Manning refused to blame his health saying, I felt good with (the quad) coming into the day. Empirical evidence says Manning was hurting at the bare minimum. He completed 77-of-121 passes for 990 yards, three touchdowns and six interceptions during the month of December, a startling downtick when you realize Manning finished his 17th season completing 66.2 percent of his passes for 4,727 yards with 39 touchdowns and 15 interceptions. I didnt play as well consistently in the second half of the season, Manning admitted. I cant give you a great reason for that. I played well at times but not as consistently as I did in the first half of the season. Sundays setback was the ninth different time Manning has led his team into the postseason without winning a game, furthering the narrative that the five- time MVP shrinks in big spots. The fact that Manning quarterbacked teams have reached the playoffs 14 times in his 17 seasons is lost on the haters, who focus on the fact the legendary signal caller is underwater (11-13) against the NFLs best competition and has amassed just one Lombardi Trophy. The calendar will turn for Manning once again in two months and 40 looms after that, stark reminders that the arm strength isnt about to regenerate and what little athleticism Manning has left at this point is only going to regress further. In his post-game press conference, Peyton intimated a firm understanding that his football mortality, at least at the level he expects out of himself is at hand. My mind set right now is just disappointment after todays game, Manning said when asked if he was coming back next season as previously planned. I kind of need to process this game and well meet. I need to process this game, so Im disappointed right now is what I am. When pressed Manning continued to deflect. Yeah, I guess I cant just give that simple answer, he answered. Im processing it. So I cant say that (Im coming back). I could not say that. Manning can still succeed at this level as evidenced by his regular-season success but the sheer length of an NFL campaign works against him. The spry September Manning is still one of the two or three best signal callers in the game but the January one who has endured a season of hits looked like a guy with a tired arm who was mistake prone as well as inaccurate, not attributes you usually equate with Peyton. Things like pitch counts in OTAs and training camp will be thrown around as a recipe for future success, as will early exits in the regular season in order to protect Mannings health at all costs. Heck, if he wants to come back the Broncos might even consider letting another option handle the early-season load in order to make sure Manning is fresh for a potential stretch run, a tactic used often in places like the NHL, where the regular season isnt as important, but one that has never been attempted in the NFL at such an important position. The Broncos are expected to discuss Mannings health and the organizations future in a season-ending news conferences with coach John Fox and general manager John Elway later this week. I feel like the season was a waste of time, like we wasted all of our hard work, Pro Bowl cornerback Chris Harris said. We have to figure out what the plan is going to be next year and try to move on. Moving on could mean a divorce with Fox despite his success especially if the veteran coach stands it the way of highly-regarded offensive coordinator and Manning acolyte Adam Gase, who could get a head-coaching gig elsewhere if a succession plan in Denver isnt put into place. As for Manning, he has earned the right to decide his own future. Ive always taken a pretty accurate look and fair evaluation of myself, he said. If that habit continues, everything is in play including the realization that one of the greatest QBs in NFL history may be finished. Tony Pollard Gear . Ending a nine-game losing streak? 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Mohamed Diame put West Ham ahead in the 47th minute before goals by substitutes Carlton Cole and Joe Cole condemned Fulham to a fifth straight defeat, keeping the visitors in the bottom three.As might be anticipated, given my gig here at TSN, I spend lots of hours poring over numbers, trying to forecast the NHL season and yet, for all those efforts, there are surprises. A lot of times its because percentages (shooting, save, on-ice shooting) are finding their way back to more normal levels, but sometimes players get opportunities that just werent easy to see before the season started. Leaving out injuries, because I dont pretend to hold that psychic power, here are some of the seasons biggest surprises for each team. I did not expect... ...C Nick Bonino to be the third-leading scorer on the Ducks, behind Ryan Getzlaf and Corey Perry. I projected Teemu Selanne to be third, but he was way back and I still had virtually every other secondary Ducks forward pegged ahead of Bonino, who had 33 points in 112 career games coming into the season. ...RW Reilly Smith to be the Bruins leading goal-scorer, with 15, through 48 games (passed by Brad Marchand Monday afternoon). Smith had decent underlying numbers as a rookie, but he scored three goals in 37 games last year, so I figured that he might be an okay third-liner for the Bruins if everything broke right. Turns out hes been a much more valuable contributor. ...the Sabres to open the season with a pair of 18-year-olds on defence. A team that didnt have much reason to expect a winning season (I ranked them 29th in the preseason), thought that their best course of action would be to have 2013 first-round picks Rasmus Ristolainen and Nikita Zadorov taking regular turns on the blueline. That experiment was eventually abandoned, as the Sabres made organizational changes, but that decision -- no matter how promising those defencemen could be in the future -- was a puzzler. ...D Kris Russell, who had spent his career as a protected, third-pair defenceman, to be so solid while playing more than 23 minutes per game for the Calgary Flames. 26-year-old Russell will be an unrestricted free agent at seasons end, but looks like one that the Flames should keep. ...the complete collapse of LW Jiri Tlusty. Sure, he wasnt going to keep scoring on 19.7% of his shots, like he did while scoring 23 goals in 48 games last season, but Tlusty opened the year with Eric Staal and Alexander Semin on the top line and hes since plummeted down the depth chart since and has six goals and 11 points in 40 games. ...this years offensive surge (45 points in 51 games) from Blackhawks D Duncan Keith, who may be having the best year of a great career. Could have gone with Antti Raantas solid play in goal when he was pressed into action, but Im trying avoid the injury thing, and while I expected better from Bryan Bickell, its not a huge surprise that he couldnt hold his spot on Jonathan Toews wing. ...that D Andre Benoit would be playing top-four minutes on the Colorado Avalanche blueline. A 30-year-old who had played 41 career NHL games before he was signed as a free agent to a one-year, $900,000 contract, Benoit has logged 20:41 per game and ranks second among Avs defencemen with 18 points in 47 games. ...this kind of breakout from Blue Jackets C Ryan Johansen. Oh, it was always a possibility, because hes a fourth overall pick that has shown flashes, but he struggled last year and was a healthy scratch in the AHL playoffs, so I did not foresee his sudden emergence as a bona fide No. 1 centre. ...Stars LW Ryan Garbutt to be tied for fourth on the team in goals, with 10 in 41 games. Garbutt, 28, had five goals in 56 NHL games prior to this season, but hes become an effective, workmanlike player who generates shots on goal at a rate similar to some of the top goal-scoring wingers in the league. ...Red Wings C Stephen Weiss to be such a disaster. His 2013 season was a mess, but he cut his season short for wrist surgery, so it was easy enough to write off four points and a minus-13 in 17 games as something that would be corrected once Weiss was healthy. With four points in 26 games this year, Weiss has obliterated that theory and now leaves the Red Wings in a tough spot, staring at $20.5-million over the next four years for a once-productive player who has eight points in 43 games since the start of last season. ...the defence and goaltending for the Edmonton Oilers to be so terrible. Since Devan Dubnyk has moved on, lets focus the attention on a team-wide defensive issue. The Oilers have a shot deficit with virtually anyone on the ice (save rookie D Martin Marincin, who has played 13 games) which, combined with subpar goaltending, leads to another lottery pick. ...stalled progress for second-year Panthers LW Jonathan Huberdeau, who had a promising rookie season, but has seen his shots per game collapse from 2.33 to 1.53 in Year Two, and hes sitting with 20 points through 47 games after tallying 31 points in 48 games last season. ...Kings rookie RW Tyler Toffoli to have such difficulty sticking in a regular role. After scoring 11 points in 22 late-season and playoff games last season, Toffoli seemed a good fit for a Kings team that could use more production from their forwards. For whatever reason, and it cant be entirely based on point production, Toffoli has been returned to the AHL, where he has 10 goals and 16 points in 13 games. ...anything significant from Wild G Josh Harding. No, I did not expect the goaltender who has been a solid career backup, but played just five games last season because of MS, to deliver what was probably the best goaltending performance over the first half of the season. Health remains an issue for Harding, but his spectacular play this year (1.65 GAA, .933 SV%) exceeds all possible expectations. ...that the Montreal Canadiens, who could certainly use an offenssive boost, would choose to keep LW Alex Galchenyuks minutes under wraps.dddddddddddd The sophomore winger ranks third on the Habs in 5-on-5 points-per-minute, yet he ranks eighth among Montreal forwards in ice time per game. ...G Marek Mazanec, a 22-year-old who had played 41 Czech League games over the past three seasons, to lead the Predators in goaltender games played. I know Ive tried to avoid injury situations, but none of the Predators scoring (good or bad) counts as shocking and even if Pekka Rinne was going to miss time with injury, Carter Hutton or Magnus Hellberg would have been my picks to play more minutes. ...that, as of the third week of January, G Martin Brodeur would still have more games played than Cory Schneider. Its not altogether shocking, given Brodeurs importance to the franchise, but rare is the team (especially one on the playoff bubble) that would have the goaltender with a .905 save percentage playing more games than the goaltender with a .924 save percentage, especially when the goalie with the .924 save percentage had such a vastly superior save percentage in the previous three seasons. ...LW Josh Bailey to fall back the way he has, from 11 goals in 38 games last season to four in 46 games this year, but the bigger surprise for me is how RW Pierre-Marc Bouchard was so quickly ejected from the lineup after a slow start that was due, in part to his own 7.8% shooting percentage, as well as a low on-ice shooting percentage that would have been bound to bounce back. ...Rangers rookie LW Chris Kreider to be so productive after he stumbled as a rookie pro (23 points in 48 AHL games, three points in 23 NHL games) last season. This year, Kreider has earned a regular turn on a scoring line and is delivering strong underlying stats too. ...that Kyle Turris would be the highest-scoring Senators centre, even with a relatively-healthy Jason Spezza on board. Of course, the expectation was that RW Bobby Ryan was going to play alongside Spezza, but it has turned out that the line of Clarke MacArthur, Turris and Ryan has really been the Sens No. 1 unit. ...G Steve Mason to have an above-average save percentage. After four subpar years in Columbus, it was difficult to put too much stock in Masons seven games (and .944 SV%) with the Flyers late last season. Now, Mason has been in steady decline since the beginning of December, but hes still fared better than expected overall. I suppose honourable mention here could go to C Vincent Lecavaliers decline -- his points per game (0.51) is his lowest since his rookie season, 1998-1999. ...the offensive breakthrough of Coyotes C Martin Hanzal, who has 34 points in 45 games, one off his career-high, set as a rookie in 2007-2008. They say it takes big forwards some time to reach their potential, but Hanzal is scoring at a much better rate than in any of his previous six NHL seasons. ...the season that Penguins D Matt Niskanen is having. While it would also be fair enough to point to LW Chris Kunitz, who I didnt peg for a point-per-game scorer, a healthy Sidney Crosby opens up the number of reasonable possibilities. For Niskanen, he has 26 points and is a league-leading plus-25, a great showing in a contract year. ...Sharks RW Joe Pavelski to be second in the league with 27 goals. Pavelskis been a terrific two-way player pretty much since coming into the league in 2006-2007, but when the Sharks started losing bodies up front, its been Pavelski who has carried the day, scoring 18 goals in the past 20 games. He needs five in the remaining 32 games to set a new career high. ...24 goals in 37 games from Blues LW Alexander Steen. Like Pavelski, a strong two-way player, Steen got off to a ridiculous start with linemates David Backes and T. J. Oshie. It was slowed down by Steens concussion, but hes back and his next goal will be a career best. ...Lightning G Ben Bishop to be Vezina contender. Sure, it was reasonable enough to think that Bishop could beat out Anders Lindback for the starting job, but what kind of expectations can you put on a 27-yar-old that has played 45 career NHL games. Honourable mention to C Valtteri Filppula, who has been far better than I anticipated after a down year in Detroit last season. ...Maple Leafs C Tyler Bozak to be closing in a point-per-game. While my projection for C Nazem Kadris decline is within reason (hes below my points-per-game projection), Bozak putting up 23 points in 27 games is a major leap over previous seasons. Hes doing it with unsustainable percentages and, due to injury, its a smaller sample size, but I readily admit that I wouldnt have forecasted this kind of production for Bozak. ...any kind of contribution from Canucks C Mike Santorelli. After all, he is a 28-year-old who had four points in 34 NHL games last season and 15 points in 94 games over the previous two seasons. Of course, that would be the guy who has 28 points in 49 gams, playing more than 18 minutes a night for Vancouver this season. ...Washingtons goaltending situation to suddenly become such a mess, but Im going to go with surprising production from RW Joel Ward, who ranks (distant) second on the Capitals with 13 goals. His career-high is 17 goals and had 14 goals in 112 games through his first two seasons with the Capitals. ...that Jets C Olli Jokinen would be a productive player again. He had 14 points in 45 games last season and turned 35 in December. Hes not a world-beater with 31 points in 50 games this year, but its still unexpected. Scott Cullen can be reached at Scott.Cullen@bellmedia.ca and followed on Twitter at http://twitter.com/tsnscottcullen. For more, check out TSN Fantasy on Facebook. 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